Catania vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
TAR
0 - 0
CAT
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
PAR
1 - 0
CAT
46%
24%
30%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
CAT
3 - 1
MOD
64%
22%
15%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
CAT
1 - 2
BRE
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1956 |
COM
2 - 1
CAT
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
MES
1 - 0
USA
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
USA
3 - 1
LIV
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1956 |
USA
0 - 2
ASS
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
UNI
0 - 0
USA
71%
17%
12%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
CAG
4 - 3
USA
62%
21%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |