Catania vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
PRO
1 - 1
CAT
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
ASS
1 - 1
CAT
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
CAT
3 - 1
CAG
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
CAT
0 - 1
FAN
69%
19%
13%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
SAL
0 - 3
CAT
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
MES
1 - 1
USA
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
USA
2 - 1
COM
53%
24%
24%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
BRE
1 - 1
USA
55%
23%
21%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
USA
0 - 2
ACM
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
SAL
1 - 1
USA
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |