Catania vs Turris Neapolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
CAT
2 - 1
USV
48%
26%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
TER
1 - 0
CAT
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
PAL
1 - 1
CAT
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
BAR
4 - 1
CAT
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
CAT
1 - 3
TER
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Turris Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
TUR
1 - 1
JUS
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
USF
2 - 2
TUR
76%
16%
9%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
TUR
0 - 2
RPO
42%
25%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 4
TUR
47%
26%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
AVE
2 - 2
TUR
62%
23%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |