Catania vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
36%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAT
0 - 0
REG
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
CAT
0 - 0
TER
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CAV
0 - 1
CAT
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAT
0 - 2
MON
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
TER
2 - 0
CAT
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
TER
0 - 2
FRA
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
CAT
0 - 0
TER
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2020 |
REG
1 - 0
TER
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
TER
0 - 0
SIC
78%
16%
7%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
TER
2 - 0
CAT
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |