Catania vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
15%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
FCC
1 - 0
CAT
57%
20%
23%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
ACM
2 - 1
CAT
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
CAT
0 - 0
NOV
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
CAT
3 - 1
LEC
62%
21%
16%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
CAG
2 - 2
CAT
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
LEC
1 - 0
TAR
72%
15%
13%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
PAL
2 - 0
TAR
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
TAR
2 - 0
PAR
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
TAR
1 - 2
MES
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
ACP
0 - 0
TAR
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |