Catania vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
CAT
2 - 1
ACM
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
NOV
3 - 0
CAT
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
LEC
1 - 1
CAT
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
CAT
2 - 0
CAG
64%
21%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
CAT
2 - 2
PAR
69%
19%
13%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
TAR
1 - 1
PAL
46%
26%
29%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
PAR
1 - 0
TAR
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
MES
0 - 0
TAR
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
TAR
2 - 1
ACP
58%
22%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
MOD
1 - 0
TAR
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |