Catania vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
UNI
1 - 1
CAT
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
USA
1 - 0
CAT
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
CAT
1 - 1
VNZ
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
CAT
3 - 0
ACM
70%
19%
12%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
CAT
1 - 0
MOD
66%
20%
13%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
TAR
4 - 1
PAR
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
NOV
0 - 0
TAR
75%
15%
10%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
TAR
0 - 0
VER
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
CAG
0 - 0
TAR
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
TAR
0 - 3
BRE
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |