Catania vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
13.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
LIV
1 - 0
CAT
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
USA
3 - 1
CAT
68%
17%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
CAT
0 - 2
SIR
76%
14%
10%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
TAR
0 - 2
FAN
78%
12%
9%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
ACP
1 - 3
TAR
60%
19%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
TAR
0 - 1
JPA
87%
9%
5%
|
58 | 17 | 41 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
TAR
3 - 0
SIR
63%
19%
19%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
TAR
4 - 2
COS
57%
20%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |