Catania vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
25.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
NOV
1 - 0
CAT
59%
26%
15%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
CAT
2 - 1
GEN
35%
34%
32%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
MOD
1 - 0
CAT
50%
30%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
CAT
1 - 0
ATL
36%
32%
32%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
USF
0 - 0
CAT
73%
19%
8%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
SSS
2 - 0
VIC
29%
33%
38%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
REG
3 - 0
SSS
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
SSS
1 - 0
PES
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
SSS
0 - 0
FCC
39%
33%
28%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
MOD
1 - 0
SSS
46%
29%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |