Catania vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1959 |
CAT
4 - 0
VER
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1959 |
ASS
1 - 1
CAT
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1959 |
COM
1 - 1
CAT
60%
23%
18%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1959 |
CAT
3 - 2
REG
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
CAT
2 - 0
MES
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1959 |
MES
1 - 0
SSS
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1959 |
SSS
2 - 1
BRE
48%
27%
26%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
VER
1 - 0
SSS
74%
16%
11%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1959 |
MOD
3 - 1
SSS
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
SSS
2 - 0
MAN
48%
24%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |