Catania vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
MES
0 - 2
CAT
38%
29%
33%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
CAT
1 - 0
ACP
68%
19%
14%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
CAT
1 - 1
VNZ
54%
25%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
MOD
2 - 2
CAT
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
TRI
4 - 1
CAT
57%
23%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
PAL
0 - 0
SSS
63%
21%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
SSS
0 - 0
NOV
51%
24%
26%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
SSS
3 - 0
PAR
58%
22%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
TRI
2 - 0
SSS
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
ASS
4 - 0
SSS
62%
21%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |