Catania vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
CAT
1 - 2
UDI
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
BOL
4 - 0
CAT
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
CAT
1 - 4
INT
14%
22%
65%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
FCC
1 - 1
CAT
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1986 |
CAT
1 - 0
BOL
51%
30%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
CAV
1 - 5
FCC
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
UDI
3 - 1
CAV
85%
10%
5%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
BOL
3 - 0
CAV
72%
17%
10%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
CAV
1 - 3
INT
9%
19%
72%
|
51 | 84 | 33 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
BAR
5 - 0
CAV
69%
20%
11%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |