Catania vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
32%
Draw
0-0
15.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32%
27.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
SAM
1 - 0
CAT
65%
23%
13%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
CAT
1 - 1
ATL
54%
31%
15%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
ACM
4 - 1
CAT
73%
19%
8%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
CAT
2 - 2
LAZ
30%
34%
37%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
USF
0 - 0
CAT
67%
22%
11%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
SPA
1 - 0
BAR
68%
21%
11%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
ASS
0 - 2
SPA
48%
30%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1981 |
SPA
1 - 0
TOR
24%
28%
48%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
PAL
0 - 1
SPA
52%
29%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
SPA
2 - 0
VIC
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |