Catania vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
31.3%
Draw
0-0
15%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.3%
25.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
ATL
3 - 1
CAT
62%
25%
12%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
CAT
3 - 2
NOV
52%
31%
17%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
SSS
0 - 0
CAT
50%
31%
19%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
CAT
1 - 1
PAL
46%
31%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
COM
2 - 0
CAT
72%
21%
7%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
SPA
2 - 1
ASC
50%
29%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
VAR
0 - 0
SPA
55%
27%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
SPA
1 - 0
AVE
56%
26%
17%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
ASS
1 - 0
SPA
55%
27%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
SPA
1 - 0
TAR
57%
27%
17%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |