Catania vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
31.2%
Draw
0-0
14.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.2%
29.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
USF
1 - 0
CAT
55%
27%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
CAT
1 - 0
PRG
49%
28%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
CAT
1 - 0
CES
46%
27%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
COM
1 - 0
CAT
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
CAT
0 - 0
BAR
40%
31%
30%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
SPA
0 - 1
TER
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
SPA
3 - 1
PAD
66%
22%
11%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
ASS
1 - 1
SPA
41%
30%
29%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
MAN
1 - 1
SPA
38%
32%
30%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
SPA
0 - 0
LEC
66%
22%
12%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |