Catania vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
CAT
2 - 0
INT
27%
25%
49%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1961 |
TOR
2 - 1
CAT
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
PAD
2 - 1
CAT
68%
19%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
CAT
1 - 0
NAP
50%
25%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAT
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
SPA
0 - 0
TOR
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1961 |
SPA
1 - 2
ACM
25%
24%
51%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
UDI
0 - 0
SPA
51%
24%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
LEC
2 - 0
SPA
42%
25%
34%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
SPA
2 - 1
VIC
53%
24%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |