Catania vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
RPO
3 - 1
CAT
23%
26%
51%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
CAT
24%
27%
49%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
PAG
2 - 4
CAT
15%
24%
61%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
CAT
3 - 1
TRA
43%
26%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
CAT
30%
29%
42%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SIR
3 - 1
CAV
44%
26%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
TRA
3 - 1
SIR
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
RIE
1 - 2
SIR
46%
27%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SIR
0 - 1
RPO
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
SIR
1 - 2
REN
55%
25%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |