Catania vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
MON
3 - 0
CAT
28%
28%
45%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
CAT
0 - 2
NUO
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
USV
1 - 1
CAT
18%
27%
55%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
CAT
1 - 0
FRA
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FCC
2 - 1
CAT
24%
29%
47%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SIR
2 - 0
PAG
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
FCC
1 - 0
SIR
25%
27%
48%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
NUO
1 - 2
SIR
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
SIR
2 - 1
CAS
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
AKR
1 - 0
SIR
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |