Catania vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
22.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
CAT
1 - 0
FAN
64%
19%
17%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
BRE
2 - 1
CAT
68%
17%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
USC
1 - 0
CAT
50%
23%
28%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
CAT
1 - 1
VER
51%
22%
27%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
CAT
2 - 1
ANC
60%
20%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
UNI
2 - 1
SIR
71%
16%
13%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
SIR
3 - 1
SPE
64%
18%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
SIR
2 - 2
VNZ
65%
18%
17%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
USC
0 - 1
SIR
51%
23%
27%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
BAR
1 - 1
SIR
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |