Catania vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
13.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
CAT
2 - 1
USC
52%
22%
26%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1950 |
BRE
3 - 0
CAT
71%
16%
13%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
SPA
2 - 0
CAT
73%
15%
12%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
CAT
2 - 1
VER
47%
23%
31%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
CAT
5 - 0
FAN
66%
18%
16%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
BRE
5 - 2
SIR
75%
15%
10%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1950 |
SIR
0 - 1
UNI
53%
21%
26%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
SIR
6 - 1
PRO
85%
10%
6%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
SPA
2 - 0
SIR
77%
13%
10%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
VIC
2 - 0
SIR
69%
17%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |