Catania vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
34%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
ACM
3 - 0
CAT
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 93 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
CAT
2 - 1
EMP
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
CAT
1 - 0
UDI
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
ASC
2 - 2
CAT
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
CAT
2 - 0
PAR
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
SAM
4 - 1
LIV
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
REG
0 - 1
SAM
43%
28%
29%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
SAM
0 - 0
SIE
60%
23%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
MES
0 - 2
SAM
41%
27%
32%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2006 |
PAL
2 - 3
SAM
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |