Catania vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
EMP
0 - 0
CAT
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
TRE
0 - 0
CAT
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
CAT
0 - 0
ABN
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
PES
2 - 2
CAT
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
CAT
1 - 3
GEN
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
SAL
2 - 0
ARZ
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
ABN
1 - 2
SAL
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
SAL
3 - 1
VIC
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 3
SAL
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
SAL
6 - 1
CES
40%
28%
31%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |