Catania vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
MOD
2 - 1
CAT
67%
19%
15%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1949 |
EMP
5 - 1
CAT
65%
18%
17%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
SPE
3 - 0
CAT
69%
17%
15%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
CAT
1 - 1
PIS
65%
18%
17%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
CAT
2 - 4
REG
46%
22%
32%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
USC
2 - 1
SAL
51%
24%
26%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1949 |
SAL
1 - 1
TAR
78%
13%
9%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
VER
1 - 1
SAL
67%
17%
16%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
SAL
1 - 1
SPA
65%
18%
17%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
NAP
1 - 0
SAL
61%
20%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |