Catania vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
20.3%
35%
Draw
0-0
19.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
34.9%
35.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
BOL
2 - 0
CAT
72%
19%
10%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
INT
3 - 2
CAT
73%
19%
8%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
CAT
3 - 1
LAZ
35%
35%
30%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
USF
1 - 0
CAT
60%
25%
16%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1970 |
CAT
0 - 0
VAR
36%
34%
31%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
ROM
0 - 0
CAG
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
JUV
2 - 0
ROM
69%
21%
11%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
ROM
3 - 1
USF
70%
20%
10%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ROM
50%
27%
24%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1970 |
ROM
0 - 0
SAM
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |