Catania vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
32.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
CAG
2 - 0
CAT
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
CAT
4 - 2
MES
58%
24%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
GEN
1 - 1
CAT
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
JUV
4 - 1
CAT
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
CAT
3 - 0
LAZ
54%
26%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
ROM
1 - 3
INT
32%
25%
42%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
FIO
2 - 0
ROM
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
ROM
1 - 0
SAM
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
VAR
1 - 1
ROM
33%
26%
41%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
ROM
0 - 0
ATL
72%
18%
11%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |