Catania vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
38.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1962 |
PAL
0 - 0
CAT
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
SAM
4 - 1
CAT
63%
21%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
CAT
2 - 0
VIC
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
CAT
1 - 3
ACM
23%
24%
54%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
SPA
1 - 0
CAT
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1962 |
ROM
3 - 3
JUV
38%
22%
41%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
PAL
0 - 0
ROM
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
ROM
1 - 0
SAM
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
INT
0 - 1
ROM
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
ROM
4 - 0
UDI
77%
14%
9%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |