Catania vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
UDI
2 - 1
CAT
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
CAT
1 - 0
LAZ
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
ROM
1 - 0
CAT
81%
13%
6%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
PAL
1 - 0
CAT
63%
21%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
CAT
3 - 0
NAP
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
REG
2 - 1
PAR
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
ACM
5 - 1
REG
72%
19%
10%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
REG
1 - 0
SAM
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
FIO
2 - 0
REG
70%
19%
12%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
GEN
2 - 0
REG
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |