Catania vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1966 |
CAT
0 - 2
MOD
52%
27%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1966 |
PIS
2 - 0
CAT
26%
29%
44%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
CAT
1 - 0
USA
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
CAT
1 - 0
PAL
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
FCC
2 - 1
CAT
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1966 |
REG
1 - 1
SAM
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1966 |
REG
5 - 0
ARZ
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
FCC
1 - 1
REG
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
REG
3 - 0
PAD
49%
26%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
VER
2 - 1
REG
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |