Catania vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
21%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
CAT
1 - 1
SSS
55%
27%
18%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
BRE
1 - 0
CAT
59%
25%
16%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1982 |
CAT
1 - 1
USC
61%
25%
14%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
REG
0 - 0
CAT
55%
27%
18%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
CAT
1 - 1
LAZ
45%
30%
25%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
PIS
1 - 1
LEC
60%
25%
15%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
PAL
1 - 1
PIS
60%
25%
15%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1982 |
PIS
1 - 1
SPA
63%
24%
14%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
LAZ
0 - 0
PIS
62%
24%
14%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
PIS
2 - 0
REG
60%
25%
15%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |