Catania vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
13%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
24.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
AVE
2 - 1
CAT
61%
25%
14%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
CAT
0 - 0
BRE
42%
32%
27%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
PIA
0 - 1
CAT
63%
23%
14%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
CAT
2 - 1
REG
54%
29%
17%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
SPA
2 - 0
CAT
64%
25%
12%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
PES
1 - 0
REG
64%
24%
12%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
MOD
1 - 0
PES
48%
29%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
PES
0 - 2
GEN
46%
30%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
USF
1 - 0
PES
56%
26%
18%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
PES
1 - 0
AVE
53%
28%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |