Catania vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
19.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
PES
1 - 1
CAT
60%
25%
16%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
CAT
3 - 2
GEN
45%
30%
25%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
CAG
1 - 0
CAT
49%
31%
20%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
CAT
1 - 0
PAL
54%
27%
19%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
SSS
2 - 1
CAT
48%
31%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
PRG
1 - 1
EMP
48%
31%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
VIC
1 - 0
PRG
55%
28%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
PRG
0 - 0
LAZ
47%
31%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
PRG
0 - 0
CES
49%
31%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
GEN
1 - 0
PRG
56%
27%
17%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |