Catania vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
14.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
22.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1972 |
LIV
1 - 0
CAT
28%
36%
36%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1972 |
CAT
1 - 2
LAZ
40%
32%
28%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
CAT
3 - 0
MOD
60%
27%
13%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
NOV
1 - 2
CAT
55%
27%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
SOR
1 - 0
CAT
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1972 |
PRG
1 - 0
LAZ
38%
32%
30%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1972 |
LIV
1 - 1
PRG
27%
35%
37%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
PRG
1 - 1
USF
47%
31%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
PRG
1 - 0
TER
43%
31%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
COM
1 - 1
PRG
53%
28%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |