Catania vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
31.4%
Draw
0-0
15.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.4%
25.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
CAM
4 - 0
CAT
46%
32%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
CAT
1 - 2
VIC
45%
29%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
CAT
1 - 0
PES
44%
30%
26%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
SSS
1 - 0
CAT
45%
32%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
CAT
1 - 0
LAZ
43%
31%
26%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAR
51%
29%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1987 |
PAR
0 - 0
ACM
20%
26%
54%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
PAR
0 - 0
ARZ
50%
31%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1987 |
PAR
0 - 0
ATL
37%
29%
34%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
PAR
2 - 0
PIS
42%
30%
28%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |