Catania vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
19.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
16.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
0
30.2%
18.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
ARZ
2 - 0
CAT
53%
30%
18%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
REG
1 - 0
CAT
40%
34%
26%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
CAT
0 - 1
BAR
60%
28%
13%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
SPA
0 - 0
CAT
60%
26%
14%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
CAT
0 - 1
PRG
55%
28%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
PAR
1 - 1
TAR
55%
27%
18%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
AVE
2 - 0
PAR
65%
22%
14%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
PAR
1 - 0
SPA
49%
29%
22%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
TER
3 - 0
PAR
63%
25%
13%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
PAR
2 - 0
REG
64%
24%
12%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |