Catania vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1958 |
CAT
0 - 0
PAL
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
SSS
2 - 2
CAT
49%
25%
27%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
LEC
1 - 1
CAT
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
CAT
0 - 2
VIG
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
CAT
3 - 0
MOD
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1958 |
PAR
2 - 2
MOD
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
REG
1 - 0
PAR
63%
21%
17%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
PAR
2 - 1
ACM
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
PAR
5 - 1
CAG
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
VNZ
1 - 1
PAR
74%
16%
10%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |