Catania vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 0
LEC
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 1
CAT
19%
27%
54%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CAT
3 - 1
MES
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 0
CAT
23%
27%
49%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 1
FON
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 2
JUS
26%
27%
48%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
NUO
2 - 1
PAG
60%
25%
16%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
PAG
3 - 0
ASM
50%
27%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 1
FRA
50%
27%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MES
0 - 2
PAG
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |