Catania vs Cosenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
USV
1 - 1
CAT
18%
27%
55%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
CAT
1 - 0
FRA
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FCC
2 - 1
CAT
24%
29%
47%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CAT
0 - 1
USF
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
PAG
2 - 1
CAT
28%
29%
44%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
NUO
1 - 2
SIR
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
MON
2 - 6
NUO
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
NUO
0 - 0
LEC
25%
25%
50%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 1
NUO
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
NUO
2 - 4
JUS
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |