Catania vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1958 |
CAT
3 - 1
LEC
62%
21%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
CAG
2 - 2
CAT
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAT
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
CAT
0 - 2
BRE
52%
25%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1958 |
CAT
0 - 1
ASS
51%
24%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1958 |
BRE
1 - 0
NOV
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
NOV
0 - 1
TRI
44%
24%
32%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
NOV
3 - 0
ACM
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
VNZ
3 - 1
NOV
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1958 |
NOV
1 - 1
MES
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |