Catania vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
16%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
GIU
0 - 0
CAT
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
CAT
0 - 0
VIT
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
TAR
1 - 0
CAT
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
CAT
2 - 0
VIS
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
SOR
0 - 1
CAT
27%
26%
48%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
NOC
1 - 0
VIR
36%
28%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
FER
1 - 0
NOC
54%
24%
21%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
NOC
2 - 2
PES
27%
29%
44%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
BEN
1 - 1
NOC
45%
27%
29%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
NOC
1 - 2
VIT
48%
26%
27%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |