Catania vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
42.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
LAZ
1 - 1
CAT
59%
23%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FIO
2 - 2
CAT
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CAT
2 - 1
INT
17%
23%
60%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
NOV
3 - 3
CAT
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAT
1 - 1
JUV
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
NAP
2 - 0
UDI
41%
27%
32%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CAG
0 - 0
NAP
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
NAP
1 - 1
BYM
19%
23%
59%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NAP
1 - 2
PAR
57%
24%
19%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
INT
0 - 3
NAP
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |