Catania vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
GEN
4 - 1
CAT
56%
22%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
VNZ
2 - 1
CAT
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
CAT
0 - 0
PAL
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
ROM
5 - 1
CAT
74%
15%
11%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
INT
2 - 1
CAT
77%
14%
9%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
NAP
0 - 0
MAN
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
FIO
5 - 1
NAP
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
NAP
1 - 5
INT
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
GEN
3 - 2
NAP
60%
22%
19%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1963 |
BEO
2 - 0
NAP
57%
20%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |