Catania vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
35.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1955 |
ROM
3 - 1
CAT
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1955 |
PRO
2 - 1
CAT
48%
25%
26%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1955 |
CAT
2 - 1
SAM
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1955 |
CAT
2 - 1
TOR
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1955 |
INT
3 - 0
CAT
79%
14%
8%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1955 |
SAM
5 - 2
NAP
49%
24%
28%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1955 |
NAP
1 - 0
ATL
63%
20%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1955 |
NAP
2 - 1
PRO
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1955 |
INT
1 - 4
NAP
71%
17%
13%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1955 |
NAP
3 - 2
LAZ
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |