Catania vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
CAT
3 - 3
ACP
75%
14%
11%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
VIC
3 - 2
CAT
67%
18%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
PRO
0 - 1
CAT
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
CAT
1 - 1
UDI
37%
24%
39%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
CAT
1 - 0
SAL
52%
23%
26%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
VIC
1 - 0
NAP
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
NAP
1 - 0
FAN
73%
16%
11%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
NAP
3 - 0
BRE
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
VER
0 - 1
NAP
57%
21%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
NAP
3 - 0
USC
65%
19%
16%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |