Catania vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
11.2%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
10.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
CAT
1 - 1
LEC
48%
29%
23%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
PIS
2 - 1
CAT
63%
24%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
CAT
0 - 1
USC
50%
30%
20%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
BOL
0 - 1
CAT
61%
25%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
CAT
2 - 0
CAV
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
MOD
1 - 1
PAR
40%
31%
29%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
VIC
3 - 0
MOD
68%
22%
10%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
MOD
1 - 0
LEC
42%
32%
26%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
PIS
0 - 2
MOD
66%
22%
12%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
MOD
0 - 1
SIE
22%
25%
53%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |