Catania vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
18.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
19.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAT
61%
27%
12%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
CAT
0 - 0
USF
42%
32%
27%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1976 |
BRI
0 - 0
CAT
51%
29%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
CAT
0 - 0
FCC
39%
33%
28%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
VAR
1 - 0
CAT
70%
22%
9%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
MOD
2 - 4
TER
36%
31%
33%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
SSS
0 - 0
MOD
55%
28%
17%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1976 |
PIA
2 - 1
MOD
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
MOD
0 - 0
NOV
44%
30%
26%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
PAL
1 - 0
MOD
58%
26%
16%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |