Catania vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
20.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
0
26.6%
13.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
NOV
1 - 2
CAT
55%
27%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
SOR
1 - 0
CAT
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1972 |
CAT
1 - 0
BRE
45%
31%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
REG
0 - 0
CAT
53%
28%
18%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
CAT
2 - 2
COM
46%
31%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
MOD
1 - 0
SOR
60%
23%
18%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
REG
3 - 0
MOD
65%
24%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1972 |
MOD
2 - 2
ARZ
42%
32%
27%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
ASS
2 - 0
MOD
53%
29%
18%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
MOD
0 - 0
CES
44%
32%
24%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |