Catania vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
SSS
1 - 1
CAT
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
VER
3 - 1
CAT
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
CAT
2 - 1
COM
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
CAT
1 - 1
ASS
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
REG
1 - 1
CAT
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
MOD
2 - 2
REG
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
MOD
1 - 4
TRI
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
PAR
2 - 2
MOD
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
MOD
0 - 1
ACM
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
SSS
3 - 0
MOD
44%
27%
30%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |