Catania vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1950 |
CAT
1 - 2
EMP
59%
20%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
CAT
0 - 0
SPE
57%
21%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
PIS
1 - 2
CAT
64%
19%
18%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
REG
0 - 1
CAT
71%
16%
13%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
CAT
1 - 1
SIR
71%
16%
13%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1950 |
MOD
3 - 2
PIS
72%
16%
12%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
USC
1 - 1
MOD
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
MOD
5 - 0
FAN
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
UDI
1 - 0
MOD
66%
19%
15%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
MOD
1 - 0
SAL
66%
19%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |