Catania vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
58.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
TOR
4 - 1
CAT
39%
27%
35%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CAT
1 - 0
UDI
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
NAP
2 - 1
CAT
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
JUV
4 - 0
CAT
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CAT
0 - 0
SAS
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
CEL
0 - 3
ACM
28%
25%
47%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ACM
1 - 1
GEN
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 0
ACM
15%
23%
62%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
FCB
3 - 1
ACM
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ACM
0 - 2
FIO
58%
23%
19%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |