Catania vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
49.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
TOR
4 - 0
CAT
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
CAT
0 - 0
SPA
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
ATL
3 - 2
CAT
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1965 |
FIO
1 - 0
CAT
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
VAR
1 - 2
CAT
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
ACM
1 - 1
VIC
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1966 |
ACM
1 - 3
FIO
65%
19%
16%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
ACM
1 - 0
ATL
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1965 |
ACM
1 - 0
FAB
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
TOR
0 - 1
ACM
34%
26%
40%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |